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SANDOWN SATURDAY 2.20

SCILLY ISLES NOVICES CHASE (GRADE 1) 2M4F

ÃPOSITIVE TRENDS

Previous runs (race type) and recent form 10/10 since 2013 had no more than five runs over fences. The same number finished in the first three on their latest start. SP 9/10 were from the first three in the betting (eight sent off 9-2 or lower). Sporting John (2021) was a 14-1 shot. The eight outright favourites since 2013 finished 111513P1. The joint-favourites in 2015 and 2021 came F2F2. Days since run 9/10 since 2013 had run within the previous 56 days. Sporting John had been off for 87 days. BHA rating 9/10 were rated 149+ (9/25 36% +£15.32). Horse suffix 8/10 were bred in FR - 8/27 (30% +£2.65). The two others were bred in IRE – 2/15 (13% +£1.17). Age Five winners since 2013 were aged six – 5/17 (29% +£15.75). Three winners were aged five – 3/5 (60% +£5.28). Oscar Whisky (2014) and L’Homme Presse (2022) were aged nine and seven. Trainer Nicky Henderson’s runners have finished 11113U2 since 2013 (4/7 +£2.29).

ÄNEGATIVE TRENDS

SP Those horses sent off 15-2 or bigger since 2013 are 1/19. Horse suffix Those horses bred in GB are 0/8 since 2013.

CONCLUSION

Nine of the ten winners since 2013 had a run within the previous 56 days and the same number were rated 149+ (9-25 36% +£15.32). Eight winners were bred in France and five were aged six (5/17 +£15.75). MONMIRAL (148) is rated slightly lower than the requirement but scores highly otherwise and Paul Nicholls’ six-year-old gets the nod over Thunder Rock (150).

BIG-RACE TRENDS

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2023-01-31T08:00:00.0000000Z

2023-01-31T08:00:00.0000000Z

https://racingpost.pressreader.com/article/283034058716453

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