Racing Post

AINTREE SATURDAY 2.40 BECHER CHASE (GRADE 3) 3M2F

ÃPOSITIVE TRENDS

Course 9/10 since 2011 had previously run over the big Aintree fences. Walk In The Mill (2018 and 2019) was the exception. BHA Rating and Weight 9/10 were rated 142 or lower (9/117 +£13). Blaklion (2017) was rated 153. 8/10 carried 10st 10lb or less (8/99 +£5). Blaklion (11st 6lb) and Oscar Time (10st 12lb) are the exceptions. Experience 9/10 had run 13 times or more over fences previously in Britain or Ireland. Days off Even though this race is fairly early in the winter season, only two of the winners were returning from an absence of 233 days or longer. The remaining eight were all off for between 22 and 54 days. Age Horses aged 9+ are 7/107 (+£3) since 2011. Those aged eight or younger are 3/74 (-£51.25). Market Horses sent off 14-1 or shorter are 8/99 (-£13.25). Clear favourites are 6P69U110P0 since 2011. The joint-favourites came third and fell in 2020. Trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies has trained six winners.

ÄNEGATIVE TRENDS

BHA rating Horses rated higher than 153 are 0/16 since 2011 (ten were 10-1 or shorter).

CONCLUSION

MAC TOTTIE registered a career-best RPR of 145 when winning over 5f shorter in the Grand Sefton on this course in November, and his running style suggests this longer trip should be within his compass.

BIG-RACE TRENDS

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2021-11-30T08:00:00.0000000Z

2021-11-30T08:00:00.0000000Z

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